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Thursday, 11 December 2025

NIFTY – Falling Wedge + Demand Zone Confluence (Strong Reversal Setup) - 11-DEC-2025

 Timeframe: 1H

Price has entered a major support cluster between 25,693 → 25,543, aligning with:

  • Falling wedge lower boundary

  • Multiple horizontal demand levels

  • Oversold RSI zone

  • Prior reaction area (strong memory zone)

Both price and momentum are showing early reversal signs, though confirmation is still required.


🔵 Primary Expectation (Bullish Reversal – HIGH Probability)

If Nifty holds above 25,693 / 25,675,
➡️ A breakout above the wedge may trigger a fast move toward:

Targets:

  • 26,000 – first reaction zone

  • 26,250 – major structural level

  • 26,320–26,400 – wedge-measured move + liquidity zone

A clean hourly candle above the wedge will confirm momentum.


🟠 Secondary Scenario (Dip Before Reversal)

If Nifty dips into 25,637 → 25,543,
➡️ Expect a stronger reversal from the orange box.
This region holds the most powerful cluster of supports.

A wick below is possible but not a close.


🔴 Bearish Case (LOW Probability)

Only a close below 25,543 opens the door for:
➡️ 25,318 retest
This is currently the extreme opposite side of the structure.

As long as 25,543 holds, trend remains favorable.


Summary

Nifty is sitting inside a high-probability reversal zone created by the convergence of a falling wedge and multi-layer demand.
Upside targets open quickly once the wedge breaks.


Disclaimer

This is a personal market view for educational purposes only — not investment advice.
Always consult your financial advisor before trading.


https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/zDft29wj-NIFTY-Falling-Wedge-Demand-Zone-Confluence-Strong-Reversal/


#Nifty #Nifty50 #NSEIndia #IndianMarkets #StockMarketIndia #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #SwingTrading #IntradayTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #MarketAnalysis #StockMarketNews #TrendAnalysis #BullishSetup #FallingWedge #DemandZone #ReversalPattern #IndexTrading #EquityMarkets #TradingCommunity

Wednesday, 10 December 2025

SENSEX – Elliott Wave Structure Turning Bullish Again (Wave 5 in Progress) - 10-Dec-2025

 Timeframe: 3H | Structure: Impulse (1-2-3-4-5)

Wave 4 has likely bottomed, and SENSEX is slowly grinding upward from the demand zone. The structure continues to respect the rising parallel channel — a strong sign that Wave 5 is active.


🔍 Key Observations

🟦 1. Wave Count Update

  • Wave (4) completed inside the lower channel support.

  • Wave (5) of 3 already finished at the previous high zone.

  • Current move is expected to be Wave (5) of the larger degree, aiming for new ATH.

🟩 2. Major Supports

  • 82,960 – Strong structural support

  • 82,255 – Wave 4 invalidation zone

  • 81,625 – Deep pullback but still bullish if held

As long as 81,625 holds, the bullish count remains intact.

🟦 3. Immediate Upside Levels

  • 86,160 – 86,955 → First reaction zone

  • 88,088 – 89,055 → Wave 3 extension pocket

  • 90,355 → Key breakout level

  • 92,455 – 92,970 → Larger degree Wave (3)/(5) zone

  • 94,555 → Final SENSEX target for this impulse

  • 100,800 → Extreme Fibonacci extension (long-term only)

🧭 4. Momentum Check

  • RSI trending upward from oversold region.

  • No bearish divergence at the moment.

  • Favoring continuation toward upper supply zones.


🎯 My Final View (Straightforward & Simple)

If 82,255–82,960 continues to hold, I expect:

👉 Wave 5 → 86,955
👉 Then push toward 89,055 – 90,355
👉 Final projection: 92,970 → 94,555

Structure stays bullish unless 81,625 breaks.


⚠️ Disclaimer

This is purely educational Elliott Wave analysis, not a buy/sell signal. Markets carry risk — please trade with your own research, risk management, and financial advice.


https://in.tradingview.com/chart/SENSEX/vpnU2yDm-SENSEX-Elliott-Wave-Structure-Turning-Bullish-Again-Wave-5/

#SENSEX #SensexToday #BSESensex #IndianMarkets #IndiaStocks
#StockMarketIndia #SensexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #ElliottWave
#WaveAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendAnalysis #IndexTrading
#MarketOutlook #SwingTrading #BullMarket #InvestingIndia
#TradingView #ChartAnalysis #StockCharts

BANKNIFTY DAILY – ELLIOTT WAVE OUTLOOK - 10-Dec-2025

🔷 Overall Structure

BankNifty continues to move inside the rising parallel channel, following a clean impulsive pattern. The larger count remains bullish as long as the price holds above the mid-channel support.

Three sub-wave scenarios exist, but all converge toward a bullish continuation unless major supports break.


🟩 PRIMARY BULLISH COUNT (Preferred)

Wave (3) in progress

  • Wave (1) and (2) completed clearly

  • Current rise fits Wave (3) internal structure

  • As long as price stays above 58,520–57,628, this remains the highest-probability path

Upside Levels for Wave (3):

  • 62,300

  • 63,471

  • 67,351 (major Wave-3 completion zone)


🟦 EXTENDED WAVE 3 SCENARIO

If the trend accelerates:

Targets expand to:

  • 71,011 – 73,354 (higher fib cluster)

  • This zone aligns with upper channel and typical 1.618 extension of Wave 1


🟧 LARGER WAVE (5) PROJECTION

Long-term channel + fib supports:

Final Wave (5) zone:

  • 80,893 – 83,382
    This region is where the entire 5-wave structure can complete.


🔻 CORRECTION SCENARIO (Healthy Pullback Only)

A corrective dip remains valid above 57,600.

Watch these levels:

  • 58,520 (first demand)

  • 57,628 (strong support)

  • 57,355 (lower channel retest)

Only below 55,977 the wave count shifts into a deeper corrective mode.


📌 Momentum

  • RSI cooling down but still respects trendline

  • No major bearish divergence on the higher TF

  • Consolidation expected before next leg up


🎯 Summary

  • Trend intact above 58,520

  • Breakout above 60,114–60,121 resumes bullish move

  • Targets ahead → 62,300 → 63,471 → 67,351 → 71,011/73,354 → 80,893+


⚠️ DISCLAIMER

This is only educational charting based on Elliott Wave structure. Not financial advice.



https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BANKNIFTY/RqJiHBqE-BANKNIFTY-DAILY-ELLIOTT-WAVE-OUTLOOK-10-Dec-2025/


#banknifty #bankniftytoday #bankniftyanalysis #elliottwave

#elliottwaveanalysis #nifty #nifty50 #technicalanalysis

#priceaction #tradingviewindia #tradingview #swingtrading

#marketupdate #stockmarketindia #supportandresistance

#trendanalysis #optiontrading #futuresandoptions


Tuesday, 9 December 2025

TATAPOWER – MONTHLY CHART | MAJOR WAVE 5 SETUP | MULTI-YEAR BREAKOUT 🚀

 Price: ₹376 • Timeframe: 1M • Trend: Long-Term Bullish

Structure: Elliott Waves + Rising Channel + Fibonacci Targets


🔷 LONG-TERM STRUCTURAL VIEW

Tata Power has completed a 10+ year accumulation and broken into a long-term uptrend since 2020.
Price is respecting a strong rising channel, with multiple clean touches on both upper and lower boundaries.

The market is currently in a multi-year impulsive cycle, following a textbook Elliott Wave structure.


📌 ELLIOTT WAVE OVERVIEW

Primary Count

  • Wave (1): Breakout from long-term base

  • Wave (2): Pullback to channel support

  • Wave (3): Strong rally into 2023 highs

  • Wave (4): Current consolidation phase

  • Wave (5): Projected upward expansion (targets below)

Subwave Count

Clear subwave notations (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) seen inside the major impulsive structure.

Wave 4 is forming high-timeframe support between ₹347–₹450.


📌 SUPPORT ZONES

LevelImportance
₹450Immediate resistance turned support candidate
₹347Major Wave (4) support zone
₹282Strong structural support
₹182High-timeframe base level
₹27Legacy low (unlikely to be seen again)

As long as price stays above ₹347, Wave 5 remains intact.


📌 RESISTANCE & TARGET ZONES

Wave 3 Zone (Already Hit)

  • ₹621 → ₹657 → ₹721
    This was the previous high-volume rejection block.

Wave 5 Major Projection Zones

Primary Wave 5 Target

  • ₹721 → ₹883 → ₹999

Extended Wave 5 Target

(If momentum accelerates)

  • ₹1,050 → ₹1,250
    (not shown on chart but possible on extended fib cycles)

The blue box around ₹883–₹999 is the strongest high-probability target zone for 2026–2028.


🔥 CHANNEL STRUCTURE

The price is moving inside a well-defined ascending channel:

  • Lower blue channel line = perfect support during Wave 2 & Wave 4

  • Midline acts as a reaction zone

  • Upper channel line projects Wave 5 targets around ₹883–₹999

Channel geometry strongly supports the Wave 5 upward leg.


🔵 RSI MOMENTUM (MONTHLY)

  • RSI is currently holding above 51

  • The previous overbought region (Wave 3) is cooling off naturally

  • No bearish divergence on the larger trend

  • Trend continuation remains possible once RSI curls upward again

This RSI structure is typical of Wave 4 consolidation before the final impulse.


🚀 PRICE OUTLOOK (2025–2028)

Short-Term (3–6 Months)

  • Range: ₹347 → ₹450

  • A breakout above ₹450 can restart the next impulsive leg.

Medium-Term (6–18 Months)

  • Climb toward ₹516 → ₹555 → ₹621

Long-Term (18–36 Months)

  • Wave 5 targets: ₹883 → ₹999

  • Extended target: ₹1,250 (if PSU + energy cycle remains strong)


SUMMARY

  • Tata Power has completed Wave (3) and is consolidating in Wave (4).

  • Rising channel remains intact and very strong.

  • Support: ₹347–₹450

  • Breakout triggers Wave 5 toward ₹883 → ₹999

  • RSI supports long-term bullish momentum.

  • The stock remains in a major multi-year uptrend cycle.


⚠️ DISCLAIMER

This analysis is for educational and chart-study purposes only and is not investment advice.
Always perform your own research and consult a registered financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.



https://in.tradingview.com/chart/TATAPOWER/hTySS1JZ-TATAPOWER-MONTHLY-CHART-MAJOR-WAVE-5-SETUP-MULTI-YEAR-BREAK/

SBIN – WEEKLY CHART | WAVE STRUCTURE + ASCENDING CHANNEL + LONG-TERM TARGETS

 State Bank of India (1W)

Price: ₹958 • Trend: Strong Bullish • Structure: Multi-year ascending channel


🔷 LONG-TERM TREND

SBIN continues to respect a major ascending channel that has been active since 2020.
Price has formed higher highs and higher lows for multiple years, confirming a strong secular uptrend.

A clean Elliott Wave structure is unfolding with Wave 3 extending and higher targets opening up.


📌 KEY SUPPORT LEVELS

  • ₹904 – Major weekly support

  • ₹755 – Trendline support

  • ₹549 – Long-term base

  • ₹425 – Historical support

As long as price stays above ₹904, the bullish structure remains intact.


📌 RESISTANCE & TARGET ZONES

Wave 3 Target Zone

  • ₹1,050 → ₹1,199

Wave 5 Long-Term Projection

  • ₹1,325

  • ₹1,440

  • ₹1,589

These zones align with upper channel projections, swing highs, and Fibonacci extensions.


🔥 MOMENTUM (RSI)

  • Weekly RSI remains above 70, staying in strong momentum territory

  • No major bearish divergence

  • Indicates continuation of the trend with potential short consolidations


🚀 PRICE OUTLOOK (2025–2026)

Short-Term

Possible retracement into ₹904–₹930 zone before continuation.

Medium-Term

Climb toward ₹1,050 → ₹1,107 → ₹1,199.

Long-Term

Wave 5 expansion toward ₹1,325 → ₹1,440 → ₹1,589.

SBIN remains one of the strongest structural uptrends in the entire PSU banking space.


SUMMARY

  • Clean multi-year ascending channel

  • Wave 3 in progress

  • Wave 5 targets open up significantly

  • RSI supports long-term continuation

  • PSU banking cycle remains structurally strong

As long as ₹904 holds, the broader trend stays bullish.


⚠️ DISCLAIMER

This analysis is for educational and chart-study purposes only and is not investment advice.
Always do your own research and consult a registered financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.


#SBIN #SBI #PSUBank #BankingSector #NSE #IndiaMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis 

#ElliottWave #TrendAnalysis #BreakoutStocks #LongTermInvesting #PriceAction 

#WeeklyChart #MomentumStocks #InvestingIdeas #TradingViewIndia #ChartAnalysis 

#BullishTrend #StockMarketIndia #SwingTrading


⭐ BHEL – MONTHLY CHART | WAVE 5 IN PLAY | MULTI-YEAR TREND REVERSAL 🚀

 Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd (1M)

Price: ₹278 • Structure: Long-Term Bullish • Wave Count: 1–5 Projection


🔷 💡 After 12 Years of Downtrend, BHEL Has Entered a New Bull Market

BHEL has officially broken out of a massive 2008 → 2020 descending trendline, completed a retest, and is now building strong higher-highs on the monthly timeframe.
This marks a secular trend reversal, the kind that appears once in a decade.


📌 Elliott Wave Structure

  • Wave 1: 2021 breakout

  • Wave 2: Retest of long-term demand

  • Wave 3: Rally into the 335–371 supply zone

  • Wave 4: Healthy correction into rising trendline support

  • Wave 5: Currently developing (targets below)

Wave 5 aligns with price structure + Fibonacci extensions + long-term momentum cycles.


📌 Key Levels

Support Zones

  • ₹245 – Wave 4 support (critical level)

  • ₹200 – Monthly structural base

  • ₹176 – Deep support zone

Resistance / Targets

  • ₹303 – Pivot level

  • ₹335–₹371 – Major supply block

  • ₹407 – Wave 5 target 1

  • ₹489 – Fibonacci extension

  • ₹564 – Long-term exhaustion zone


🔥 Why Wave 5 Looks Strong

1. RSI Momentum Reset

RSI cooled from Wave 3 overbought levels and is now showing fresh upward momentum from ~60.

2. Rising Channel Confirmation

Price is respecting a strong ascending channel → clear trend continuation.

3. PSU + Infra Cycle Strength

Sector rotation into PSU + engineering boosts the long-term outlook.


🚀 Trend Outlook

BHEL holds a clean bullish structure, backed by multi-year trend reversal.
As long as ₹245 holds, the bullish bias remains intact.

Projected Move

  • Short-Term: ₹303 → ₹335

  • Mid-Term: ₹335 → ₹371 → ₹407

  • Long-Term: ₹489 → ₹564 (Wave 5 potential)


Technical Verdict

BHEL is in a confirmed multi-year bullish supercycle, with Elliott Wave 5 likely unfolding into 2025–26.
Breakout structures, RSI cycles, and PSU sector strength support a long-term continuation.


⚠️ DISCLAIMER

This analysis is for educational and chart-study purposes only and is not investment or trading advice.
Always do your own research (DYOR), evaluate risk, and consult a registered financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions. Markets carry risk, and past performance does not guarantee future returns.


#BHEL #ElliottWave #WaveAnalysis #PSUStocks #IndiaMarkets #NSEStocks #LongTermInvesting 

#MonthlyChart #TrendReversal #BullishBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartAnalysis 

#SwingTrading #PriceAction #StockMarketIndia #InvestingIdeas #TradingViewIndia 

#MomentumStocks #InfrastructureStocks #PowerSector



https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BHEL/CuNAkgMI-BHEL-MONTHLY-CHART-WAVE-5-IN-PLAY-MULTI-YEAR-TREND-REVERSA/

NIFTY 50 – Elliott Wave Analysis | 3 Possible Wave Counts | 3H Chart - 09-Dec-2025

 

Current Market Price: 25,754 (as on Dec 09, 2025)



🌀 3 Possible Elliott Wave Scenarios

🅰️ Scenario A – Wave 4 completed at today’s low

  • Price currently retesting the multi-month trendline support (blue & magenta channel confluence).

  • A bounce from 25,730 – 25,820 zone may trigger Wave 5 towards:

    • Target 1: 26,401

    • Target 2: 26,877

    • Target 3: 27,082 – 27,489 major resistance box

Invalidation: Close below 25,700


🅱️ Scenario B – Wave 4 still unfolding

  • Price may make a deeper correction if the support breaks.

  • Possible drop into 25,534 – 25,316 zone to complete an extended Wave 4.

  • Strong demand expected from that zone.


🅾️ Scenario C – Larger corrective Wave 2 (bigger picture)

  • If selling intensifies due to global weakness, larger structure may still be in play.

  • Downside cluster support near 25,144 – 24,973.

  • RSI oversold and in historical reversal zone—indicating possible climactic bottom formation.

Invalidation of bullish structure: Sustained close below 24,973


📌 Technical Confluence

  • RSI deeply oversold on 3H — near reversal territory.

  • Channel support + Fib 0.382 – 0.5 support zones aligned.

  • Gap zone and demand block present at current level.


🎯 Summary

ViewSupportBullish Targets
Wave 4 bottom done25,730–25,82026,401 → 26,877 → 27,082–27,489
Extended Wave 425,534–25,316Same above targets
Bigger Wave 225,144–24,973Mid-term bullish zone

📍 My Positioning View

As long as NIFTY holds above 25,700 on closing basis, bullish continuation remains favored.
Watching price action closely near 25,754 – 25,820 for reversal confirmation.


⚠️ Disclaimer

This analysis is for educational and research purposes only.
Not investment or trading advice.
Please consult with your financial advisor and trade with proper risk management.
Markets are unpredictable—view this as probability-based analysis, not certainty.


https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/5hSahYO2-NIFTY-50-Elliott-Wave-Analysis-3-Possible-Wave-Counts-3H-C/