Market Structure Research — Not Predictions

Independent, educational analysis using Elliott Wave structure, time-based corrections, and trend context across global markets.

Sunday, 30 November 2025

📈 BTCUSD (Bitcoin) – Elliott Wave Weekly Analysis

Current Price: ~$90,700

Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
Wave Structure: Impulse Cycle – in progress


🔍 Elliott Wave Count

  • Wave 1 completed near $69,000

  • Wave 2 corrected to around $15,479

  • Wave 3 top formed at $107,000–$110,000 zone (Ending diagonal wedge visible)

  • Wave 4 correction in progress


🟦 Wave 4 Expected Correction Zone

Key support levels:

LevelPurpose
$96,565 – first supportMinor reaction level
$90,000 zone – current testingOngoing wave 4
$69,000 major supportFinal/Max correction zone
$62,000 – extension lower possibilityIf panic liquidation

📍 Wave 4 typically retraces 23.6%–38.2% of wave 3. Current move aligns with expected correction.


📊 Wave 5 Projection (Bullish Targets)

Once wave 4 bottom is confirmed, Wave 5 upside targets:

Wave 5 Target ZonesLevels
Primary Target$147,000
Extended Target$168,669
Major Fibonacci + Cycle Target$187,805 – $197,547
Euphoria Top$213,204

Time expectation: Mid–2026


📌 Market View

📉 Short-term

Correction may continue until a bottom forms near $80,000 – $69,000 zone.

📈 Mid to Long-term

Bullish continuation toward Wave 5 mega cycle top.


🎯 Strategy Thoughts

StyleAction Idea
Buy on deep dipsAccumulate near $80K–$70K
Breakout TradingAbove $110K
Profit bookingPartial at $147K / $168K, final at $190K–$213K

⚠ Risks to Consider

  • Macro volatility (Rates / recession risks)

  • BTC halving euphoria corrections

  • Regulatory uncertainty


Summary

🔺 Bitcoin currently in Wave 4 corrective phase
🔻 Possible downside to $80K–$69K zone
🚀 Wave 5 upside potential: $147K → $168K → $190–$213K

No comments :

Post a Comment

Thanks for your Comment.
Arockia.