Market Structure Research — Not Predictions

Independent, educational analysis using Elliott Wave structure, time-based corrections, and trend context across global markets.

Monday, 9 February 2026

GIFT NIFTY 50 — Structural Decision Zone (1H)

 GIFT NIFTY has staged a sharp recovery from the lower structure but is now approaching a confluence resistance zone. The recent advance remains corrective in nature, and price is currently at a decision point where continuation or rejection will be determined by acceptance and holding levels, not momentum alone.


Structure Position

  • The entire move from the recent low is a recovery leg within a corrective environment

  • Price is testing:

    • Descending supply line from the spike high

    • Fibonacci retracement cluster

  • Internal price action remains overlapping, indicating range-to-resolution behavior


Key Zones & Levels

Immediate Resistance Zone

  • 25,950 – 26,300

    • Fibonacci 0.382 / 0.236 cluster

    • Prior supply memory

    • Upper boundary of corrective channel

Decision / Pivot Zone

  • 25,850 – 25,950

    • Acceptance above this zone is required for bullish continuation

Immediate Support (Critical Level)

  • 25,555

    • Structural higher-low

    • Origin of the current recovery leg

    • Channel validity level

Lower Structural Supports

  • 25,720 – 25,650 → minor reaction zone

  • 25,500 – 25,450 → structure softens

  • 24,750 → major structural floor (damage zone if revisited)


Expected Behaviour (Branching Logic)

Bullish Scenario (Conditional)

  • Valid only if price holds above 25,555

  • Pullbacks should remain shallow and corrective

  • Acceptance above 25,950 opens scope for higher retracement levels within the channel

  • Continuation depends on holding structure, not speed

Bearish Scenario

  • Rejection from resistance zone

  • Loss of 25,555 invalidates the bullish structure

  • Below 25,555 → recovery is confirmed corrective

  • Rotation back toward 0.5–0.618 retracement zone becomes the natural path


Invalidation & Risk Levels

  • Below 25,555 → Bullish scenario invalid

  • Channel structure fails below this level

  • Any downside below 25,500 increases probability of deeper corrective rotation


Conclusion

GIFT NIFTY is not in a confirmed trend.
It is currently resolving a corrective recovery into resistance.

25,555 is the structural line in the sand.
Above it → controlled continuation is possible.
Below it → rejection and range re-entry dominate.    



https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY1!/8q4dEbMg-GIFT-NIFTY-1H-Structural-Decision-Zone/

#GIFTNIFTY #NIFTY50 #MarketStructure #ElliottWave #PriceAction #IndexAnalysis #IndianMarkets #TradingView

No comments :

Post a Comment

Thanks for your Comment.
Arockia.