Friday, 12 December 2025

Bank Nifty Outlook: Structure, Levels, and the Bigger Wave 5 Path

 Bank Nifty continues to trade inside a well-defined rising channel after completing an impulsive 5-wave advance from the October lows. The recent correction has been shallow and held firmly above key channel support, suggesting that a larger trend continuation may be underway.

Price is currently attempting to form a higher low above the 59500-59150 zone, which keeps the bullish structure intact.



1. Wave Structure

  • The index has completed a clear 1-2-3-4-5 sequence.

  • Wave 4 was shallow and did not break structural supports.

  • Price is now attempting to begin the next leg, which could unfold as the larger Wave (5).

As long as the index holds above the mid-channel, the bullish wave count remains valid.


2. Key Resistance Zones

These levels must be cleared for strong continuation:

  • 60150 – First breakout trigger

  • 60500 – Short-term resistance

  • 61140 – Mid-channel breakout level

  • 62770 – Wave 3 zone of the larger degree

  • 63900 – Upper channel resistance

  • 68140 – Big-picture Wave 5 target zone

A sustained close above 60500 is the first confirmation.
A breakout above 61140 ignites momentum toward 62770 and 63900.


3. Key Support Zones

Supports remain layered and well-structured:

  • 59500 – First immediate support

  • 59150 – Strong base support

  • 58570 – Channel support

  • 57628 – Major wave 2 retracement region

  • 56850 – Line-in-the-sand support

  • 55355 – Last strong support (wave 2 box)

A drop below 58570 delays the bullish view, while a fall below 57628 shifts sentiment to short-term bearish.


4. RSI and Momentum

RSI is rising from lower levels, showing early momentum recovery after a corrective decline.
No bearish divergence at the moment, which supports the continuation bias.


5. Overall View

Bank Nifty maintains a bullish bias as long as it trades above 58570-57628.
The structure continues to favor buy on dips until the rising channel is broken.

A breakout above 60150-60500 could begin a new leg of upside, targeting:

  • 61140

  • 62770

  • 63900

  • 68140 (bigger picture)

Short-term dips into 59500 or 59150 remain attractive zones for buyers as long as the overall channel structure is protected.


Disclaimer

This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects personal market interpretation.
Not investment or trading advice.



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https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BANKNIFTY/TfZ9Boju-Bank-Nifty-Outlook-Structure-Levels-and-the-Bigger-Wave-5-Pat/

Sensex Trend Update – Bullish or Bearish?

 

SENSEX – Key Update | 3 Possible Paths Ahead

Structure:
Sensex continues to respect the medium-term bullish channel. The recent pullback into the support band around 84,300 – 83,700 has likely completed wave 4, and the index is now attempting a fresh upside rotation.


🔵 Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Most Probable)

  • Price reclaimed the breakout zone near 85,291 – 85,655.

  • Sustaining above this band confirms upward strength.

  • Immediate target zone → 86,934 – 88,058 (Wave 3 internal zone).

  • Strong extension possible into the 90,355 cluster, aligning with Wave (3) resistance.

Trigger: Clean breakout above 85,655 → momentum opens toward the blue target box.


🟡 Scenario 2 – Deeper Wave (2) Retest (Moderate Probability)

  • If Sensex re-rejects 85,291 / 85,655, it may revisit the orange demand zone.

  • Key support cluster → 83,721 – 82,191.

  • This zone is still bullish structurally as long as 81,100 is protected.

  • A dip into this zone prepares a stronger Wave 3 rally later.


🔴 Scenario 3 – Bearish Breakdown (Low Probability)

  • Breakdown below 82,191 → opens retest of major weekly support at 81,100 → 80,482.

  • Only a close below 79,734 invalidates the bullish Elliott Wave structure.


📌 RSI Observation

  • RSI has turned upward from mid-range, matching price reaction from support.

  • No bearish divergence currently.

  • Supports probability of a continued upward leg.


🎯 Major Levels

Upside:
86,160 → 86,934 → 88,058 → 89,555 → 90,355 → 92,450 → 94,555

Downside:
84,677 → 83,721 → 82,191 → 81,100 → 80,482 → 79,734 (critical)


📘 Summary

Sensex is at a decision point. Holding above 85,291–85,655 keeps bulls fully in control, targeting 86.9k → 88k → 90.3k.
Rejection here only delays the upside; deeper support test remains structurally bullish as long as 79,734 holds.


📌 Disclaimer

This is purely for educational and chart-study purposes. Not financial advice. Do your own research before trading.



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https://in.tradingview.com/chart/SENSEX/GXiaptw3-Sensex-Key-Levels-and-Market-Outlook/

Thursday, 11 December 2025

NIFTY – Falling Wedge + Demand Zone Confluence (Strong Reversal Setup) - 11-DEC-2025

 Timeframe: 1H

Price has entered a major support cluster between 25,693 → 25,543, aligning with:

  • Falling wedge lower boundary

  • Multiple horizontal demand levels

  • Oversold RSI zone

  • Prior reaction area (strong memory zone)

Both price and momentum are showing early reversal signs, though confirmation is still required.


🔵 Primary Expectation (Bullish Reversal – HIGH Probability)

If Nifty holds above 25,693 / 25,675,
➡️ A breakout above the wedge may trigger a fast move toward:

Targets:

  • 26,000 – first reaction zone

  • 26,250 – major structural level

  • 26,320–26,400 – wedge-measured move + liquidity zone

A clean hourly candle above the wedge will confirm momentum.


🟠 Secondary Scenario (Dip Before Reversal)

If Nifty dips into 25,637 → 25,543,
➡️ Expect a stronger reversal from the orange box.
This region holds the most powerful cluster of supports.

A wick below is possible but not a close.


🔴 Bearish Case (LOW Probability)

Only a close below 25,543 opens the door for:
➡️ 25,318 retest
This is currently the extreme opposite side of the structure.

As long as 25,543 holds, trend remains favorable.


Summary

Nifty is sitting inside a high-probability reversal zone created by the convergence of a falling wedge and multi-layer demand.
Upside targets open quickly once the wedge breaks.


Disclaimer

This is a personal market view for educational purposes only — not investment advice.
Always consult your financial advisor before trading.


https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/zDft29wj-NIFTY-Falling-Wedge-Demand-Zone-Confluence-Strong-Reversal/


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Wednesday, 10 December 2025

SENSEX – Elliott Wave Structure Turning Bullish Again (Wave 5 in Progress) - 10-Dec-2025

 Timeframe: 3H | Structure: Impulse (1-2-3-4-5)

Wave 4 has likely bottomed, and SENSEX is slowly grinding upward from the demand zone. The structure continues to respect the rising parallel channel — a strong sign that Wave 5 is active.


🔍 Key Observations

🟦 1. Wave Count Update

  • Wave (4) completed inside the lower channel support.

  • Wave (5) of 3 already finished at the previous high zone.

  • Current move is expected to be Wave (5) of the larger degree, aiming for new ATH.

🟩 2. Major Supports

  • 82,960 – Strong structural support

  • 82,255 – Wave 4 invalidation zone

  • 81,625 – Deep pullback but still bullish if held

As long as 81,625 holds, the bullish count remains intact.

🟦 3. Immediate Upside Levels

  • 86,160 – 86,955 → First reaction zone

  • 88,088 – 89,055 → Wave 3 extension pocket

  • 90,355 → Key breakout level

  • 92,455 – 92,970 → Larger degree Wave (3)/(5) zone

  • 94,555 → Final SENSEX target for this impulse

  • 100,800 → Extreme Fibonacci extension (long-term only)

🧭 4. Momentum Check

  • RSI trending upward from oversold region.

  • No bearish divergence at the moment.

  • Favoring continuation toward upper supply zones.


🎯 My Final View (Straightforward & Simple)

If 82,255–82,960 continues to hold, I expect:

👉 Wave 5 → 86,955
👉 Then push toward 89,055 – 90,355
👉 Final projection: 92,970 → 94,555

Structure stays bullish unless 81,625 breaks.


⚠️ Disclaimer

This is purely educational Elliott Wave analysis, not a buy/sell signal. Markets carry risk — please trade with your own research, risk management, and financial advice.


https://in.tradingview.com/chart/SENSEX/vpnU2yDm-SENSEX-Elliott-Wave-Structure-Turning-Bullish-Again-Wave-5/

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BANKNIFTY DAILY – ELLIOTT WAVE OUTLOOK - 10-Dec-2025

🔷 Overall Structure

BankNifty continues to move inside the rising parallel channel, following a clean impulsive pattern. The larger count remains bullish as long as the price holds above the mid-channel support.

Three sub-wave scenarios exist, but all converge toward a bullish continuation unless major supports break.


🟩 PRIMARY BULLISH COUNT (Preferred)

Wave (3) in progress

  • Wave (1) and (2) completed clearly

  • Current rise fits Wave (3) internal structure

  • As long as price stays above 58,520–57,628, this remains the highest-probability path

Upside Levels for Wave (3):

  • 62,300

  • 63,471

  • 67,351 (major Wave-3 completion zone)


🟦 EXTENDED WAVE 3 SCENARIO

If the trend accelerates:

Targets expand to:

  • 71,011 – 73,354 (higher fib cluster)

  • This zone aligns with upper channel and typical 1.618 extension of Wave 1


🟧 LARGER WAVE (5) PROJECTION

Long-term channel + fib supports:

Final Wave (5) zone:

  • 80,893 – 83,382
    This region is where the entire 5-wave structure can complete.


🔻 CORRECTION SCENARIO (Healthy Pullback Only)

A corrective dip remains valid above 57,600.

Watch these levels:

  • 58,520 (first demand)

  • 57,628 (strong support)

  • 57,355 (lower channel retest)

Only below 55,977 the wave count shifts into a deeper corrective mode.


📌 Momentum

  • RSI cooling down but still respects trendline

  • No major bearish divergence on the higher TF

  • Consolidation expected before next leg up


🎯 Summary

  • Trend intact above 58,520

  • Breakout above 60,114–60,121 resumes bullish move

  • Targets ahead → 62,300 → 63,471 → 67,351 → 71,011/73,354 → 80,893+


⚠️ DISCLAIMER

This is only educational charting based on Elliott Wave structure. Not financial advice.



https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BANKNIFTY/RqJiHBqE-BANKNIFTY-DAILY-ELLIOTT-WAVE-OUTLOOK-10-Dec-2025/


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Tuesday, 9 December 2025

TATAPOWER – MONTHLY CHART | MAJOR WAVE 5 SETUP | MULTI-YEAR BREAKOUT 🚀

 Price: ₹376 • Timeframe: 1M • Trend: Long-Term Bullish

Structure: Elliott Waves + Rising Channel + Fibonacci Targets


🔷 LONG-TERM STRUCTURAL VIEW

Tata Power has completed a 10+ year accumulation and broken into a long-term uptrend since 2020.
Price is respecting a strong rising channel, with multiple clean touches on both upper and lower boundaries.

The market is currently in a multi-year impulsive cycle, following a textbook Elliott Wave structure.


📌 ELLIOTT WAVE OVERVIEW

Primary Count

  • Wave (1): Breakout from long-term base

  • Wave (2): Pullback to channel support

  • Wave (3): Strong rally into 2023 highs

  • Wave (4): Current consolidation phase

  • Wave (5): Projected upward expansion (targets below)

Subwave Count

Clear subwave notations (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) seen inside the major impulsive structure.

Wave 4 is forming high-timeframe support between ₹347–₹450.


📌 SUPPORT ZONES

LevelImportance
₹450Immediate resistance turned support candidate
₹347Major Wave (4) support zone
₹282Strong structural support
₹182High-timeframe base level
₹27Legacy low (unlikely to be seen again)

As long as price stays above ₹347, Wave 5 remains intact.


📌 RESISTANCE & TARGET ZONES

Wave 3 Zone (Already Hit)

  • ₹621 → ₹657 → ₹721
    This was the previous high-volume rejection block.

Wave 5 Major Projection Zones

Primary Wave 5 Target

  • ₹721 → ₹883 → ₹999

Extended Wave 5 Target

(If momentum accelerates)

  • ₹1,050 → ₹1,250
    (not shown on chart but possible on extended fib cycles)

The blue box around ₹883–₹999 is the strongest high-probability target zone for 2026–2028.


🔥 CHANNEL STRUCTURE

The price is moving inside a well-defined ascending channel:

  • Lower blue channel line = perfect support during Wave 2 & Wave 4

  • Midline acts as a reaction zone

  • Upper channel line projects Wave 5 targets around ₹883–₹999

Channel geometry strongly supports the Wave 5 upward leg.


🔵 RSI MOMENTUM (MONTHLY)

  • RSI is currently holding above 51

  • The previous overbought region (Wave 3) is cooling off naturally

  • No bearish divergence on the larger trend

  • Trend continuation remains possible once RSI curls upward again

This RSI structure is typical of Wave 4 consolidation before the final impulse.


🚀 PRICE OUTLOOK (2025–2028)

Short-Term (3–6 Months)

  • Range: ₹347 → ₹450

  • A breakout above ₹450 can restart the next impulsive leg.

Medium-Term (6–18 Months)

  • Climb toward ₹516 → ₹555 → ₹621

Long-Term (18–36 Months)

  • Wave 5 targets: ₹883 → ₹999

  • Extended target: ₹1,250 (if PSU + energy cycle remains strong)


SUMMARY

  • Tata Power has completed Wave (3) and is consolidating in Wave (4).

  • Rising channel remains intact and very strong.

  • Support: ₹347–₹450

  • Breakout triggers Wave 5 toward ₹883 → ₹999

  • RSI supports long-term bullish momentum.

  • The stock remains in a major multi-year uptrend cycle.


⚠️ DISCLAIMER

This analysis is for educational and chart-study purposes only and is not investment advice.
Always perform your own research and consult a registered financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.



https://in.tradingview.com/chart/TATAPOWER/hTySS1JZ-TATAPOWER-MONTHLY-CHART-MAJOR-WAVE-5-SETUP-MULTI-YEAR-BREAK/

SBIN – WEEKLY CHART | WAVE STRUCTURE + ASCENDING CHANNEL + LONG-TERM TARGETS

 State Bank of India (1W)

Price: ₹958 • Trend: Strong Bullish • Structure: Multi-year ascending channel


🔷 LONG-TERM TREND

SBIN continues to respect a major ascending channel that has been active since 2020.
Price has formed higher highs and higher lows for multiple years, confirming a strong secular uptrend.

A clean Elliott Wave structure is unfolding with Wave 3 extending and higher targets opening up.


📌 KEY SUPPORT LEVELS

  • ₹904 – Major weekly support

  • ₹755 – Trendline support

  • ₹549 – Long-term base

  • ₹425 – Historical support

As long as price stays above ₹904, the bullish structure remains intact.


📌 RESISTANCE & TARGET ZONES

Wave 3 Target Zone

  • ₹1,050 → ₹1,199

Wave 5 Long-Term Projection

  • ₹1,325

  • ₹1,440

  • ₹1,589

These zones align with upper channel projections, swing highs, and Fibonacci extensions.


🔥 MOMENTUM (RSI)

  • Weekly RSI remains above 70, staying in strong momentum territory

  • No major bearish divergence

  • Indicates continuation of the trend with potential short consolidations


🚀 PRICE OUTLOOK (2025–2026)

Short-Term

Possible retracement into ₹904–₹930 zone before continuation.

Medium-Term

Climb toward ₹1,050 → ₹1,107 → ₹1,199.

Long-Term

Wave 5 expansion toward ₹1,325 → ₹1,440 → ₹1,589.

SBIN remains one of the strongest structural uptrends in the entire PSU banking space.


SUMMARY

  • Clean multi-year ascending channel

  • Wave 3 in progress

  • Wave 5 targets open up significantly

  • RSI supports long-term continuation

  • PSU banking cycle remains structurally strong

As long as ₹904 holds, the broader trend stays bullish.


⚠️ DISCLAIMER

This analysis is for educational and chart-study purposes only and is not investment advice.
Always do your own research and consult a registered financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.


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