Saturday, 6 December 2025

Renuka Sugar – Weekly Chart Analysis | High Risk – High Reward Setup 🍬📈

 

Potential Long-Term Reversal Zone | Buy on Big Dips Approach

Renuka has been in a prolonged corrective downtrend since the peak around ₹68–70, but price is now testing a significant multi-year support cluster. The stock is trading near demand levels where strong reversals have occurred historically.



🔍 Technical Summary

Current Position

  • Trading near long-term channel support & horizontal demand zones.

  • Major support bands lie between ₹28 – 24 – 22

  • Stronger support zone below lies around ₹17 – 11 – 8

Structure

  • Price is almost completing a base formation.

  • Any bullish reversal pattern from here could trigger a strong upside retracement.

  • RSI is near oversold zone, indicating weakening selling pressure and potential reversal.


🛒 Accumulation / Buy Zones

ZoneComment
₹28 – 24First strong buy zone / reaction expected
₹22 – 17Deep correction / highest value zone
₹11 – 8Extreme pessimism area – long-term investor zone

📌 Low-risk entries generally happen when price reaches these cycle support levels.


🛡 Stop-loss & Invalid Level

  • Below ₹5: long-term view invalid & further weakness possible

  • Historical bottom area ₹3.25 is the absolute support line

Holding above this region supports a reversal structure.


🚀 Upside Target Projections

TargetArea
₹35 – 43Initial bounce zone / resistance
₹50 – 57Main breakout zone
₹78 – 85Long-term target zone if trend reverses

Breakout above ₹43 will be the strongest confirmation of trend reversal.


📈 RSI Commentary

  • RSI currently hovering near oversold region.

  • Buying strength increasing on dips.

  • Previous reversals from similar RSI levels led to strong rallies.


Bias & Strategy

🟢 Primary View: Buy on dips only

  • Best opportunities occur around ₹28 → ₹24 → ₹22 → ₹17

  • Long-term bullish only above ₹43

🔴 Alternate View

  • Close below ₹5 may extend bearish trend significantly.


💬 Question for Followers

Do you see RENuka forming a reversal base or still more downside left?
Comment “Reversal” if bullish or “More Down” if bearish 📩


⚠️ Disclaimer

Educational chart analysis only, not investment advice. Do your own research & risk management.


https://in.tradingview.com/chart/RENUKA/F6BqKmHv-Renuka-Weekly-Chart-Analysis-High-Risk-High-Reward-Setup/

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