Saturday, 6 December 2025

SPX – Wave 5 in Progress | Updated Analysis - 06-Dec-2025

 Continuation of Previous Elliott Wave Outlook (Link Below)

Chart Update Date: 06 Dec 2025


📍 Old Analysis Reference (28 Aug 2025)

In my previous analysis shared on 28 August 2025, I highlighted that the SPX was completing Wave 4 and was expected to resume the upward journey into Wave 5 within the rising channel structure.

🔗 Previous Forecast:
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/KzZDojRw-SPX-ANALYSIS-28-AUG-2025/

Price respected the projection zone perfectly, holding the 6,500 major support, which confirmed the end of Wave 4 and triggered the beginning of Wave 5.


📈 Current Technical Outlook

The index is now trading back inside the mid-channel region and above the BB mid-line, indicating continuation momentum.

💡 Key Observations

  • Wave 4 completed at 6,500 support zone

  • Strong rebound from channel bottom with bullish confirmation

  • RSI rising from 40–45 range & crossed signal line → bullish momentum shift

  • Price respecting the rising parallel channel structure

  • Trading above 20 SMA Bollinger mid-band


🎯 Wave 5 Upside Targets

Target LevelsNotes
7,089First resistance
7,255 – 7,497Major Fib Cluster
7,600 – 7,734Primary Wave 5 target
7,900 – 8,000Extended Wave 5 potential

🛡 Invalidation & Support

Support ZoneComment
6,925Short-term
6,500Wave 4 low / structural invalidation
4,800Long-term macro support


🧠 Conclusion

As long as 6,500 remains protected, the structure strongly favors bullish continuation toward 7,250–7,600 initially and possibly even 8,000.

📌 Bias: Bullish
📌 Invalidation: Close below 6,500


❓ Discussion

Will SPX achieve 8,000 before any major correction?
Share your thoughts below 👇

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