Friday, 5 December 2025

TMPV (Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles) – Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis


Buy on Dips Opportunity | Bullish Higher Timeframe Outlook 🚗📈

TMPV has completed a major impulsive rally from Covid lows and is currently in a Wave (2) corrective structure after topping around the 950–1000 zone (projected Wave 1 peak). The corrective move looks controlled and remains within long-term rising channel support.


🔍 Technical Analysis Summary

Elliott Wave Structure

  • Wave (1) completed near ₹950–1000

  • Wave (2) correction currently unfolding

  • Price respected the mid-channel support and is forming a probable bottoming zone

  • RSI entering oversold reversal territory, similar to previous Wave 2 formations

Once Wave (2) completes, a powerful Wave (3) rally is expected, historically the strongest phase.


🎯 Buy Levels (Accumulation Zones)

ZoneReason
₹365Key structure support / neckline
₹324Wave (2) Fibonacci cluster & channel median
₹277Extreme dip / demand zone

📌 Buy on dips — strongly supported by analysis.


🛡 Risk Management

Bullish view valid as long as

  • ₹221 holds as the long-term support base

  • This level aligns with lower channel boundary & 78.6% retracement of previous leg

A weekly close below ₹221 invalidates bullish structure.


📈 Bullish Trigger & Breakout Confirmation

  • Above ₹450 — strong breakout signal indicating Wave (3) ignition

  • Above this level TMPV can start aggressive upside movement toward new highs


🧠 Upside Target Projections (Wave 3 & 5)

Target ZoneArea
₹503 – 570Wave 3 initial zone
₹677 – 789Main Wave 3 target
₹955 – 1070Wave (4) zone (retest / consolidation)
₹1234 – 1425Final Wave (5) zone

📊 RSI Indicator View

  • RSI is deeply corrected and entering reversal territory between 32–35

  • No new lower low on RSI → bullish divergence developing

  • Indicates weakening selling pressure & potential bottoming


Conclusion

🟢 Primary View: Bullish

  • Buy on dips towards ₹365 – 324 – 277

  • Long-term target: ₹1234 – ₹1425, 1955

  • Bullish as long as ₹221 holds

🔴 Alternate Bearish View

  • Below ₹221, extended correction may continue lower


🚨 Disclaimer

Educational Elliott Wave study only. Not trading/investment advice. Do your own research.


https://in.tradingview.com/chart/TMPV/RzcYW6T9-TMPV-Tata-Motors-Passenger-Vehicles-Elliott-Wave-Analysis/

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