Weekly structure overview — educational, not predictive
🔹 CONTEXT
After a sharp multi-year decline, US Natural Gas attempted a recovery phase. However, recent price action shows structural hesitation rather than sustained trend development.
🔹 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT
• Higher-degree trend: Corrective / constrained
• Nature of current phase: Overlapping, time-based
• Impulse vs correction: Correction dominant
• Confirmation status: Absent
🔹 KEY STRUCTURAL ZONES (REFERENCE ONLY)
• Primary Support Zone:
Near the long-term base (~1.50–1.60)
→ Structural demand from prior cycle low
• Balance / Acceptance Zone:
Around the declining trendline (~3.00–3.20)
→ Market currently oscillating here
• Supply / Resistance Zone:
Upper corrective range (~5.00–5.30)
→ Prior rejection, no impulsive acceptance yet
• Invalidation (Structural):
Sustained acceptance above the descending trendline with impulse
→ Would reduce corrective probability
📌 Levels are reference points, not forecasts.
🔹 WHAT IS HAPPENING (STRUCTURAL LOGIC)
Price remains capped beneath a declining higher-timeframe trendline while recent advances lack impulsive characteristics. The recovery leg continues to retrace within a broader corrective environment, showing compression rather than expansion. RSI remains range-bound, reinforcing the absence of trend strength.
🔹 WHAT IS NOT HAPPENING
• No confirmed trend reversal
• No higher-timeframe impulsive breakout
• No sustained momentum expansion
🔹 WHAT WOULD MATTER GOING FORWARD
• Structural expansion beyond the dominant trendline
• Clear impulsive sequence on the weekly timeframe
• Momentum confirmation accompanying price acceptance
🔹 CONCLUSION
Until structure resolves, US Natural Gas remains in a corrective digestion phase rather than a trending advance. Patience and structural confirmation remain essential.
🔹 DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice.
#NaturalGas #XNGUSD #MarketStructure
#ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis
#Commodities #TradingView
#CorrectivePhase #RiskManagement
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