Research & Analysis - Index, Equity, Forex, Commodity & Crypto Currencies
Feel free to add your comments . ckacraj@gmail.com . I am not a SEBI registered Analyst . For Educational Purpose only.
LTP 86.16
Upside ultimate target 1: 87.16-87.91 (done). Extension can be 88.34
Further upside target zone: 89.52-89.80-90.70.
As long as it is below 88 OR reversal from upper targets 89.52-90.70,
we can see more downside towards 84.21. 82.64.
Ultimate downside targets: 84.21, 82.64, 81. 76.50, 72.37, 69.34.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/USDINR/VNY3I7cW-USDINR-86-16-BULL-or-BEAR-Analysis-on-12-APR-2025/
LTP: 3237
Immediate Resistance: 3250/3273.
Supports: 2534
Strong Support: 1046
As per my wave count the move is still not completed.
Ideal target zone for this move is 3250-3273-3443. Extensions could be 3516-3725.
From where we can see bigger correction towards 2800-2600.
Alt Bearish scenario:
If 3250-3300 region resists, we can see some correction towards 3021-2921-2885-2780.
Reversal from these levels, we can see good up move towards 3500-3700+.
XAUUSD / GOLD / GC Analysis 10-Apr-2025: BULL or BEAR?
CMP 3118
Resistance: 3173
Supports: 3050/2970/2955
There are 3 Probabilities as of now.
1. Flat Correction - Can make new high towards 3167-3200-3250 n fall to 2500 USD
2. Triangle - Can trade between 3170-2400 for couple of weeks/months before next bull run.
3. ZigZag Correction - Direct fall to 2900/750/2500/2400.
We need to wait how gold is going to make it's path.
As per my view, gold next target on the downside 2880-2800 first and further 2750-2650, 2500- positionally.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/VNKBZ5jj-XAUUSD-GOLD-GC-Analysis-10-Apr-2025-BULL-or-BEAR/
LTP 21921
Will history repeat? Is the move resembles Oct 2021-Jun 2022?
As long as 23934 resists, we can see more down towards 21150 before big reversal (steady and long term trend towards 30K-34K).
As of now, my view Nifty can recover towards 22500-23K and fall again towards 21200 as a final move.
As per my view, Nifty is moving in X-Y-Z correction.
From 21200-20900 levels, we can expect big trend reversal.
Let us wait and watch.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/cvc6xaJf-NIFTY-Analaysis-07-APR-2025-Is-History-repeating/
LTP 573
SUPPORT: 412/334/130
As long as 500/412 holds support,
I expect to see more bull move towards 800/1200/1500/1900+
As per my analysis, bottom is already in and as long as the supports hold, Buy on dips is my view.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/EMAMILTD/P0N3rcS1-EMAMI-LTD-574-Analysis-on-03-Apr-2025/
LTP 3128
As per my analysis, Gold has done ultimate target at 3165.
Further extensions can be 3221, 3282 and max 3455.
But, as of now, I suppose, Gold has topped out and any break of 3100, can see steep/gradual fall towards 2500-2300 in the coming months before next bull run towards 5K+ USD.
BIGGER PICTURE GOLD AND SILVER
Supports: 22770/22321/21955
Upper Support zone: 22921-22655
As long as this support zone holds we can expect big bull run towards 24K/25K.
Downside minimum target done at 23210.
Extensions can be 23050/22921/22770/22660 max.
Reversal from any of these levels, we can see 23750 first .
Upside targets: 23750, 23989
Ultimate target zone 1: 24190-24291-24450.
Scenario 1:
23100 hold support and market can move towards 24190+ directly.
Scenario 2:
Can move back to 23400-650 n fall to 22950-22660 n reverse back strongly to 24190+.
As of now, my primary view is scenario 2.
Alt scenario is 1.
As per seasonality, I expect bull run till Aug-Oct 2025. Slow and Steady Move.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/eAM2LadH-NIFTY-23282-Analysis-on-03-Apr-2025/
LTP 71.93
Bull trend started?
Support: 65.30
Resistance: 80.73
As per this chart, Crude bottom might be truncated. So, I expect a trend reversal for more bullish action for the targets above 120 USD.
Long term target for this bull move can be 190$+
Upside small targets: 77, 82, 85, 93, 112, 121+
NOTE: Bull View will be invalidated below 65.30.
Below that, we can see 60.5, 57, 55, 54, 49.
PRIMARY: BULL.
ALT: BEAR.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/USOIL/IWjOE0NV-USOIL-WTIOIL-CRUDE-OIL-Analysis-1-Apr-2025/
CMP 3132
Gold has done its normal target at 3137.
More extension can be 3173/250/280/3333.
Reversal from these levels, can move towards 2970, 2700, 2500 before next move towards 5000 USD.
Upside can be 3173, 32580, 3333, 3365, 3464, 3850
Downside can be 2967, 2882, 2821, 2655, 2610, 2534, 2500, 2413, 2250.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/tc7vQY1w-XAUUSD-SPOT-GC-GOLD-Analysis-1-Apr-2025/
LTP 23161. WILL HISTORY REPEAT?
Supports: 22673/21955/21289
As long as Nifty stays above 21955, bull trend is intact for 26K+++.
Buy on dips view.
Break of 21289, trend will change to bear trend.
Primary: Bull
Alt: Bear.
As per seasonality, I expect up move till August-September. Let us wait and watch.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/YwDEchoZ-NIFTY-Bull-or-Bear-1-Apr-2025/
Primary: Bear
As long as 110,000 resists, we can see deep correction towards 43K-32K.
From where we can see strong bull move towards 240K USD.
Downside targets: 83600,76600, 73500, 68100, 42500, 32300, 23500.
Alt: Bull
If 76600 is the low, we can see bull move towards 119K and further 140K.
Upside targets: 92900, 96500, 105,000
Extensions: 119K, 139K, 155K, 200K, 220K
Alt 2:
Can make new high towards 119K and fall to 83K before next up move towards 200K.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/KuaR8uEb-BTCUSD-Bull-OR-Bear-28-MAR-2025/
NIFTY LTP 23531. Analysis on 27-Mar-2025
Support: 23389
Resistance: 23877
Expecting sideways / triangle action for some hours/days (wave 4 personality).
Trending move can be seen once these levels break.
Expecting breakout on the upside to take nifty next to 24200+++.
Let us see how this works out.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/HUfNqumG-NIFTY-LTP-23531-Analysis-on-27-Mar-2025/
LTP 260.70
Supports: 230/97
Resistances: 457/647/1046
Immediate Resistance: 277
In the downside, if breaks 230, we can see more fall towards 200/170.
On the upside, need a strong break of immediate resistance 277.
Once break 277, we can see 350 soon.
Ultimate Target zones: 555-607, 770-891, 1100-1300
Small targets by levels: 350, 430, 555, 607, 650, 707, 770, 891, 1100, 1182, 1313.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GEPIL/mrvzghdJ-GE-POWER-260-Analysis-on-22-Mar-2025/
LTP 23352
Resistance: 23489
Immediate Supports: 23121/23034
Other supports: 22834/22755/22589 and the last support 21964.
Market is showing overbought signals. But I expect some sort of corrections for next move.
As long as 23000 holds support, more room on upside left.
Based on Previous analysis,
Nifty reached my 1st target of 23055. Further targets are 23500, 23800+.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/MKhhaWUe-Nifty-22452-Analysis-12-Mar-2025/
As per my latest analysis, I expect to see some resistance around 23470-23555.
If that resistance hold, we can see minor correction before the next rally towards 24K.
NOTE: In bull markets wave 3, we cannot see bigger corrections, only a small correction, which will not give an opportunity for new buyers.
Upside targets:
23470-23550, 24100-24300
The following targets are based on analysis for short term. Bigger picture I'll post later.
Small targets: 23470, 23550, 23730, 23950, 24170, 24230, 24280 and 24450.
ALTERT:
Don't panic: If 21964 breaks, we can see 18,000 (as of now this is least probable).
If we get this level, it would be BEST INVESTEMENT ZONE for LONG TERM GAINS.
As long as 4.707, we can see more fall towards 3.5/3.2/2.79/2.52
As of now, NG has done minimum downside target at 3.975.
I expect to see some correction towards 4.1-4.16.
More bullish scenario of the correction would be towards 4.26/4.44
Reversal from these levels 4.1-4.5, we can see another round of selling towards 3.5
Crude is trading at an important level 68-68.60
As long as this level resists, we can see 66.73/64.95 again.
Further, downside can be 63.59, 60/55.
Supports: 11289/11034
Resistances: 11677/11777
Nifty total market is breaking the immediate resistance of 11677.
Now, the Immediate Support: 11455.
As long as 11289/11000 holds support, we can bull move towards 12677, 14000+ in the long run.
Resistance: 489
Supports: 100/0.9987
As per my analysis, TESLA is reversing from this level. If that is the case, we can see big bull run towards $700/1000.
Downside extensions can be 187, 144, 107, 57.
Reversal from any of these levels, can see 488 first and further 700/1000+.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/TSLA/QjqR4Uky-TSLA-248-Analysis-13-MAR-2025/
LTP 22452
Resistance: 22589/22689
Support: 21955
Immediate support: 22313
If these resistances hold, nifty can retest 22255 and further 22220-22130 before big reversal.
Reversal from any of these levels 1st target 22689 and further 22800/23200, 23800.
NOTE: any break of 22689, we can see 22800 direct.
As per my analysis bottom is already in place at 22955.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/MKhhaWUe-Nifty-22452-Analysis-12-Mar-2025/
PiUSDT @ 0.6075/1.2333
Support: 1.12
Above 1.57, we can see move towards 2, 2.7 and 3.
Break of 3, next target zones:
3.3-3.6-4.2
5.07-5.4-6
6.8
7.4-7.8-8.4
Further 9.8-10.2-11.34, 15.77.
NOTE: My views are for long term only. Not intra or short term.
Support zone: 663-603-547. Max extension on the downside can be 401. But I don't think, it will go till that. I expect a strong reversal from the support zone.
I expect reversal from this zone towards 1000/1400+.
Base support 234.
Let us wait and watch.
Thanks.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/INDUSINDBK/lQoUXLId-Indusind-Bank-655/
Have we started correction before next move towards 22800?
Nifty @ 22650: Bull or Bear? 10-Mar-2025
Support 22389/22255
Can we see more upside towards 23K before correction?
As long as 22255 holds support, I expect 22700/850/23K+.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/x5b720wS-Nifty-22650-Bull-or-Bear-10-Mar-2025/
As long as 21955/21821 holds support, I am bullish on NIFTY and expecting steady growth towards 23K/24K+++ till Jul-Aug 2025.
Update 2:
Update 1:
Update 2:
Update 1:
BIGGER PICTURE:
Could see lot of negative news in the market. Is it time to change from SELL to BUY?
GIFT NIFTY
SELLERS SAFE BOOKING ZONE? BOTTOM IS IN?
I am bullish and my view BUY on DIPS from now on.
BTCUSD ANALYSIS @ 85000 - 02-Mar-2025
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS:
07-MAR-2024 - BIGGER PICTURE: BTC going to 75k, 96k, 1.2L, 1.4L, 1.8L, 2.1L?
https://ewavesjournal.blogspot.com/2024/03/btcusd-analysis-bigger-picture-07-mar.html
BTC has done minimum downside target at 87300/81000.
Further extension can be 73500. But, as per my view, the bottom would be already in.
Most like, there can be triangle action for couple of months, before next bull move towards 120K.
Base supports: 68500/55555.
Next Upside targets: Long Term Targets:
109K, 121-131-146K
168K
187-196-212K.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/YVQUn30k-BTCUSD-ANALYSIS-85000-02-Mar-2025/
Nifty is currently trading at the support zone.
Expecting big reversal in the coming weeks.
It has done minimum downside target at 22250.
Further downside can be 21900/21500/21155 max.
Reversal from these levels, 1st target would be 26277.
Upside target levels: long term view:
21280-25200,
25500-26000,
26277,
26400-26730,
27100-27800-28500
and extension would be 30500.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY/Ju95rh7L-NIFTY-Analysis-22125-01-Mar-2025/
GOLD / XAUUSD / XAU / GC @ 2856
Support: 2530
Resistance: 2957
As long as 2957 resists, we can see more fall towards 2800/2700/2555.
Reversal from any of these levels, 1st target 2957.
Further targets:
3030-3100-3200
3500-3555
3800-4000-4200 as extensions.
NOTE: If 2719 holds supports and breaks 2957, we can see 3030-3100-3200 as a direct move.
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/PpMcSqkL-GOLD-XAUUSD-XAU-GC-2856-01-Mar-2025/
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Is Dollar getting weak/under pressure? Can we see Bigger Correction or Trend Reversal?
CMP 1.0496
Supports: 1.0713/0.9534
Resistances: 1.1213-1.1277
Immediate Res: 1.0540
As long as 1.0173/0.9534 supports, I expect to see 1.1250-1.1410 minimum.
For correction,
Ultimate target for WAVE C 1.1721-1.1912.
For trend reversal,
Ultimate targets: 1.1721-1.2313, 1.2970-1.3230-1.3655+++
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/xTSFz0ib-EURUSD-FIBER-Analysis-26-Feb-2025/
LTP: 22810
SUPPORT: 22700; RESISTANCES: 22955/23055
As per my view, Nifty trading at the support zone. Past three attempts, 22755/700 holding the support.
If that continue to hold and a decisive break of 22955/23055, we can see trend reversal for 27K/30K.
I expect slow and steady in the coming months.
Alternatively, If Nifty breaks 22700, we can see 22500/250/21900/777 and 21500 in extension.
AS OF NOW, my view Neutral to mildly bullish.
As you all know, Pi Coin is listed in the market and fall below 3$ after listing.
CMP: 1.83
Resistances: 16.96/200/500
Immediate resistance 17. Pi need a break of this for move to the next level of 31.
Upside targets level by level:
Level 1: 31, 119, 233, 314, 440
Strong Resistance 500. Break of 500 next we can see 610, 721.
Further, 810-883-1001, 1164, 1314-1377-1498.
Ultimate Target Zones: 440-610, 810-1001, 1314-1498, 1805-1887-2119, 3050.
This is my analysis for long term.
LTP: 22780
NIFTY is trading at the SUPPORT LEVEL as of now.
BULLs need of break of 22955 first and further 23155 for the steady and long bull move till JUN-AUG'25.
Break of todays low, can move towards 22500/22250/21900 n more...
NIFTY TOTAL MARKET @ 11660 BULL or BEAR?
RESISTANCES: 11977/12355
SUPPORTS: 11677
Downside minimum target done at 11621.
Extension can be 11230.
But as of now, I expect good reversal from this zone.
Seasonality down move completed?
If so, we will see steady growth till July-Aug 2025.
Let us wait and watch.
BULL or BEAR? BOTTOM is IN or MORE to GO?
LTP 23588.
I am bullish Above Nifty 23655, and expecting 24k, 24500, 24900+++
Total market is trading at the support zone 11977-11677. (reversal zone 1)
If it breaks 11677, next we can see 11621-11230.
Any break of 12355, we can see big bull move towards 14K+
https://in.tradingview.com/chart/NIFTY_TOTAL_MKT/Skdj7PI7-NIFTY-TOTAL-MARKET-NIFTY-750-11905-BULL-or-BEAR/
MORE DOWN TO GO?
IMPORTANT RESISTANCE: 23377/24300.
As long as these levels resists, we can see below 22K.
BIG TREND REVERSAL EXPECTED BETWEEN 21900-21500-21100
