Market Structure Research — Not Predictions

Independent, educational analysis using Elliott Wave structure, time-based corrections, and trend context across global markets.

Saturday, 27 December 2025

Gold (XAUUSD) Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis: Bigger Picture with Key Levels


Introduction

Gold’s long-term trend is best understood through market structure, not short-term reactions.
This weekly Elliott Wave analysis focuses on the bigger picture, highlighting where Gold stands within its long-term cycle and defining key structural levels — without encouraging impulsive decisions.


This study is based purely on price structure, Fibonacci relationships, and momentum, not news or fundamentals.


Bigger Picture Structure (Weekly)

Gold is progressing through Wave III of a higher degree, with internal Wave (3) currently developing.

This phase is typically:

  • Persistent

  • Underestimated early

  • Accompanied by periodic corrections that do not end the trend

The overall structure remains constructive and intact.


Key Structural Levels (Important Section)

These levels are contextual reference points, not buy/sell signals.

🔹 Primary Structural Support

  • ~2070 region

    • Former breakout zone

    • Long-term structural pivot

    • Holds trend integrity on a weekly basis

As long as price holds above this zone, the higher-degree bullish structure remains valid.


🔹 Secondary Support (Trend Health)

  • Lower boundary of the rising weekly channel

    • Expected to be tested during corrections

    • Normal behaviour within Wave III

Pullbacks into this zone are structural pauses, not trend failure.


🔹 Invalidation Level (Very Important)

  • Sustained weekly break below the rising channel

    • Would force a reassessment of the Wave III count

    • Suggests a larger corrective phase instead of continuation

Until this occurs, the primary bullish structure remains intact.


Resistance: How to Think About It (Without Confusion)

In a higher-degree Wave III, traditional resistance levels are often temporary pauses, not ceilings.

  • Fibonacci extensions above current price represent long-term structural zones

  • They are not near-term targets

  • Price may consolidate or correct before progressing further

The focus should remain on structure and momentum, not exact upside levels.


What This Analysis Is — and Is Not

This analysis IS:

  • A long-term structural study

  • Designed to improve perspective

  • Focused on risk awareness, not prediction

This analysis IS NOT:

  • A trading signal

  • A timing forecast

  • A guarantee of continuation


Summary (Key Takeaways)

  • Gold is in Wave III (higher degree)

  • Internal Wave (3) is developing

  • ~2070 is a key long-term support zone

  • Trend remains valid while price holds above the weekly channel

  • Corrections are normal and expected within this phase



Disclaimer

This analysis is for educational purposes only. It reflects a technical, structural perspective based on Elliott Wave theory and is not financial advice.

Gold Elliott Wave Analysis
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook
Gold Long Term Structure
Gold Wave III Analysis
Gold Market Structure

#Gold
#XAUUSD
#ElliottWave
#MarketStructure
#LongTermTrends

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