Market Structure Research — Not Predictions

Independent, educational analysis using Elliott Wave structure, time-based corrections, and trend context across global markets.

Tuesday, 16 December 2025

COPPER (LME/MCX/COMEX): Rising Channel & Wave 5 Climax

 Ticker: CA1! (LME Copper) or COPPER1! (Choose one to link) Timeframe: Weekly (1W)


Key Observations

1. Wave Structure

  • The metal is strictly respecting a multi-year Rising Parallel Channel.

  • We are currently in Wave 5 (The final impulse leg). Historically, this wave brings a sharp rally followed by a deep correction.




2. Key Resistance Zones (The "Alt Top")

  • LME: $12,475 - $12,919

  • MCX: ₹1,125 - ₹1,189

  • COMEX: $5.54 - $5.73

  • Note: The upper trendline of the channel intersects exactly at these zones, creating a "Confluence of Resistance."

3. Key Support Zones

  • Trendline Support: The middle of the channel acts as the dynamic floor.

  • MCX Support: ₹1,095 and ₹1,065. As long as we hold above these, the path to the top is open.

4. RSI and Momentum (Caution)

  • RSI (Weekly): Readings are elevated (above 75-80 on MCX). This indicates an Overbought condition. Divergence is likely forming, suggesting that while price may hit a new high, momentum is fading.

5. My Final View The Trend is Mature Bullish.

  • Action: Look to Book Profits near the channel top.

  • Warning: A weekly rejection from the "Blue Box" will signal the start of a major correction (A-B-C).

  • Buying: Only recommended on dips near the channel midline, not at the top.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade with strict risk management.


https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CA1!/p3ft2Htm-LME-COPPER-The-Grand-Finale-Targeting-12-900-Wave-5/

https://in.tradingview.com/chart/COPPER1!/PoOIPQZK-MCX-COPPER-RSI-Overheated-Prepare-for-the-Final-Climax/

https://in.tradingview.com/chart/COPPER/ovBjfapS-COPPER-USD-Approaching-Channel-Top-Wave-5-Peak/


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